The US will firmly back Japan in its row over islands with China. That’s the message sent by President Barack Obama at his meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe in Tokyo. “The US is lucky enough to have good economic relations with both China and Japan. But instead of being a mediator between them Obama engaged himself 100% on the side of Japan, said that the US has to protect Japan according to the defense treaties. And in this way he alienated China and pushed it into the arms of Russia right on the eve of President Putin’s visit,” political analyst Dmitry Babich told The Voice of Russia.
What is this situation that we are seeing in development with Japan and the US?
The US is lucky enough, this is not Mr. Obama’s achievement, this is an achievement of his predecessors, the US is lucky enough to have good economic relations with both China and Japan. But instead of being a mediator between them Obama engaged himself 100% on the side of Japan, said that the US has to protect Japan according to the defense treaties. And in this way he alienated China and pushed it into the arms of Russia right on the eve of President Putin’s visit.
I think it is just incompetence, because I don’t see how the national interests of the US can be asserted by that. In all the conflicts in the world right now, instead of being a mediator, as the US used to be years ago, now the Americans always take one of the sides 100% and they get involved in a conflict, incurring the wrath of the opposite party. Basically, it is a very bad policy. And we see now in the Far East the same policy as in Ukraine, but in the initial stages.
Instead of being an arbiter between Russia and Ukraine, instead of trying to help these two countries mode a new relationship, instead of doing that they exacerbated tensions. And now they start exacerbating tensions between Japan and China.
What could be the next move in this sort of geopolitical chess game that we are seeing played out right now in Japan and President Obama?
Well, there are two variants. The next wrong move or the next right move. Unfortunately, I expect wrong moves from Obama. His next wrong move in the Far East is to continue supporting Japan in its conflict with China. To continue supporting South Korea 100% in its conflict with North Korea. That would increase tensions between Japan and China, between North Korea and South Korea. His next wrong move in Ukraine would be to support at all odds the Government in Kiev – the not very legitimate Government in Kiev.
So, this would do a terrible blow to the American interests in both parts of the globe, because the US would get involved into conflicts, which do not offer the US any perspective of gains in any way.
The next right move for Obama would be to deescalate in Ukraine, to stop supplying these so-called nonlethal military support to Ukraine. The right step in the Far East would be to say – “I’m neither for China, nor for Japan. I want you both to sort out your differences in a peaceful way. I’m not going to support Japan militarily in case of a conflict with China, because I don’t want this conflict”.
That would be the right move, but, I’m afraid, Obama is not going to make it.