A recent presidential election poll puts Donald Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton by 45% to 43%.
After the Democratic National Convention, Clinton pulled away to take a double-digit lead over Donald Trump in some national polls. Since then, the gap has narrowed, and Clinton’s image has declined significantly.
If it were not for Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, who has repeatedly failed not only to explain the exact role of the Clinton Foundation but also to turn over 15,000 private emails from her time as secretary as state, would be the most unpopular major-party presidential nominee in modern American history.
Consequently the presidential race looks as if it is going to be close, and this week, a poll has put Trump ahead of Clinton by three points.
The USC Dornsife/LA TImes Daybreak poll uses participants randomly selected from households across the United States and asks them three questions:
- What is the percent chance that you will vote in the presidential election?
- What is the percent chance that if you were to vote, you will vote for Clinton, Trump, or someone else?
- What is the percent chance that Clinton, Trump or someone else will win?
As of August 28, the best estimate of how Americans plan to vote in November, according to this particular poll, is that Trump will win.
As of August 30, it is 45-42.
It bears noting, of course, that polls come to different conclusions. A Fox News survey published on Wednesday put Clinton hanging on to a two-point lead (41-39).
On Monday, a Reuters/Ipsos gave Clinton a one-point lead. An NBC News/SM poll, which had the largest sample size, gave Clinton a six-point lead over Trump.
All polls, however, agree that for the moment at least, Clinton’s share of the vote is declining steeply and Trumps’s is beginning to rally.