Vietnam’s Economic Growth Surges to Above 7% as Exports Climb

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By Nguyen Dieu Tu Uyen

Vietnam’s growth accelerated in the third quarter to more than 7 percent, with the economy on track to remain among the world’s fastest.

The Backdrop

The strong growth eases pressure on Vietnam’s officials to add more stimulus to meet a target of 6.7 percent economic expansion this year. Exports will remain strong because of new factories opening and rising commodity prices, the Asian Development Bank said in a report this month, as it predicted growth of more than 6 percent this year and next.

The central bank is among a handful of Asian monetary regulators to ease policy this year, unexpectedly cutting its benchmark interest rate for the first time in three years in July. Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc in August also asked the central bank to take steps to bring down banks’ lending rates to help businesses.

In Asia, economies growing more than 6 percent a year include China, India and the Philippines.


Economist View

  • “While the short-term outlook is pretty decent, risks are building,” Gareth Leather, senior Asia economist at Capital Economics Ltd. in London, said in a note. “In particular, we are increasingly concerned by the rapid increase in debt. Credit booms on the scale that Vietnam is experiencing are not sustainable over the long term,” he said, citing private sector credit growth of around 20 percent.

Other Details

  • Manufacturing rose 12.8 percent in the nine months through September from a year earlier
  • Exports increased 19.8 percent, trade deficit was $442 million in the period
  • Disbursed foreign direct investment rose 13.4 percent to $12.5 billion, pledged FDI increased 34.3 percent
  • Consumer prices rose 3.4 percent in September from year earlier. The government aims to cap average price gains at 4 percent this year

— With assistance by Ditas B Lopez

 

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