After the Armenian-Azerbaijani incident around Garagel, French President Emmanuel Macron stated on his Facebook about the need to withdraw Azerbaijani troops from the territory of Armenia. “Azerbaijani troops entered the Armenian territory. They must return immediately,” he wrote in Armenian. Macron added that France has always supported and will continue to support the Armenian people. Why Macron did wrote his appeal in Armenian? In fact, he addressed Azerbaijan. Who is the political leader of France, who has consistently supported Armenia from the very beginning of the 44-day war?
Emmanuel Macron, was born in 1977; he is youngest ever president of France. His fantastically rapid political career is surprising, because of which he reached this higher position. A member of the Socialist Party and Rothschild banker was appointed Minister of Economy, Industry and Digital Affairs (2014 -2016). On April 6, 2016, he created the “Forward!” Movement (later reorganized into the “Forward Respublika” Party), which he declared “neither right nor left,” that is, anti- systemic, opposed to the two largest parties of “republicans” and socialists, who have decades of rich political and electoral experience behind them. Before the elections, he published a book-program “Révolution”, which became a bestseller. He has been the President of France since May 14, 2017. At the end of December 2019, the British newspaper Financial Times included Macron in the list of 50 people who “defined the face of the decade.” In Russia, Macron is seen as a non-independent figure, a protégé of domestic oligarchs and the world globalist elite. Macron is a staunch supporter of strengthening the EU and NATO. This, as they say, is based on the materials of the media, to which the current president deftly and in a timely manner provides dissected information about himself. A more realistic image is formed after acquaintance with the book of his biographer Anna Fuld and the testimonies of people who personally know Macron.
The real Macron is elusive and plural. He is determined not to publish what he wants to keep with him, but he generously shares what he wants to convey. Nobody really knows him. The politician’s mother, Françoise Noguez-Macron, testifies: “He had excellent relations with everyone, but I have never seen him have a close friend.” President’s father Jean-Michel Macron notes, “Indeed, he has an amazing trait: he is extremely gifted in terms of human relations. He has the power of deception that bears fruit.” According to his wife Brigitte, he does not let anyone close to him, “He needs everything and no one. The wife once mentioned the difficulties of life with “Jeanne d’Arc”, and admitted that Emmanuel “imagines himself to be Jesus”.
- Fulda concludes: “All who know him (or think they know) have long felt in him a firm determination, and at the same time a barely noticeable sense of his own superiority, unshakable confidence in his mission, manifestations of a deep but thorough hidden egocentrism.” What really distinguishes Macron from other politicians is the attraction of sensual, moreover, irrational methods to the political arsenal: he talks a lot about feelings, about immeasurable, mystical matters, confesses his love to the French and does it quite consciously. The gift and thirst for seduction – that is what most of all defines the nature of Macron, as well as the fear of not being liked; especially those who help him climb the “ladder of success.”
There were many such people. This is an influential philanthropist of the left progressives, Henri Erman, who gave Macron a job at the Rothschild Bank and was one of the first to offer him to run for president. Well-known in the world of politics and finance J. Attali claimed that he “discovered” and even “invented” Macron, and that he was “his creation”. Among the patrons of the future president was François Hollande, who called Macron “the son everyone dreams of.” According to the testimony of Hollande’s associates, the president could not have imagined that Macron would become his rival in the presidential election, breaking with the socialists.
Fulda notes, “Rothschild was and remains a special bank that still mixes business and politics, remaining the center of influence and the very heart of power in France. Macron even surpassed Georges Pompidou, the bank’s general director who later became president of France. “Years pass, presidents change, but the power of this prestigious commercial bank … remains the same,” A. Fulda is convinced. It turns out that Macron, who presented himself as an anti-systemic candidate in the presidential election campaign, actually rose to the top thanks to this system itself.
The unusualness of Macron, according to the author of his biography, lies in the fact that he combines the prudence of a politician and belief in the irrational, in his own “destiny.” Macron is full of paradoxes and alternating identities.
Now about his allegedly Armenian predilections.
The estimation of the number of Armenians in France is not unambiguous: according to some assumptions, from 350 to 500 thousand people. The largest Armenian communities live mainly in Paris (200,000), Lyon (100,000), and Marseille (100,000). Unlike the larger Turkish community, Armenians are widely involved in the political and financial life of France and this determines their influence in the country. In 2001, the National Assembly unanimously adopted a resolution, according to which France recognized the fact of the Armenian genocide in Ottoman Turkey in 1915-1923, and in 2011. The lower house of the French parliament approved a bill, according to which denial of the Armenian genocide is a criminal offense. Now Macron intends to establish a “Day of Remembrance for the Victims of the Armenian Genocide” in the country, clearly counting on the electoral support of the Armenians in the elections next year.
Yet it seems that the current logic of the “pro-Armenian policy of Paris” is not limited to electoral expectations, but is mainly aimed at reviving the lost image of France as one of the centers of world politics. In conditions when “sanctioned” Russia alone solves the problem of the Karabakh conflict the United States has withdrawn from its responsibilities in the Minsk Group due to internal problems, France sees an opportunity to “take on” the solidarity position of the Western world and try to improve its image against the background of the inflammatory “Pro-Azerbaijani” position of Great Britain. Events so far demonstrate that Paris is doomed to defeat in this direction. Following the actual exclusion from the conflict resolution process, a legal decision may follow to replace France as the co-chair of the Minsk Group. Many experts, including the influential Thomas de Waal, believe: “it is important that there is a European country in this place that commands respect both in Armenia and in Azerbaijan – and France is now perceived as a pro-Armenian player, which deprives it of leverage over the situation.” Russian experts note, “Paris raises the stakes and demonstrates to Moscow and Ankara that either they will accept it as a collective participant, or the French will be active unilaterally, playing the role of an elephant in a china shop.” This does not prevent Macron from building bridges with Moscow. Thus, in April, during a telephone conversation, the French presidents of the Russian Federation agreed to come up with initiatives to resolve the Nagorno-Karabakh problem soon, agreeing to launch “concrete initiatives” within the framework of the OSCE Minsk Group in the coming days. However, so far there is no movement in this direction.
About the difficult Turkish-French relations.
Not the marathon duel between Macron and Erdogan itself is characteristic, but its result – the conciliatory gesture of the French president after personal insults and terrible mutual accusations that are not characteristic of the world of high politics. Macron’s aspiration “to be liked by everyone” again manifested itself.
Meanwhile, internal events can push foreign policy initiatives into the background for a long time – in France, for the second time since the reign of de Gaulle, a “military revolt” is increasing.
A month ago, a group of French military (17 generals, a rear admiral, a hundred senior officers and more than a thousand soldiers and officers, both active and retired) wrote an open letter to French President Macron, in which they warned of the threat of civil war in the country. The letter mentions the ideology of Islamism and “hordes of youth gangs from the suburbs” as threats to the unity of France, capturing individual areas in which local dogmas operate, not the constitution. “If nothing is done, connivance will inexorably spread in society, which will ultimately lead to the explosion and intervention of the active army, which will take on a dangerous mission to protect our civilizational values and protect compatriots in the country.”
The chief of the main headquarters of the French armed forces, General François Lecointre, promised that each of the generals would appear before the Supreme Military Council and the President of the Republic would sign a decree depriving them of their military rank.
The news channel La Chaîne Info decided to learn the opinion of the country’s citizens on this matter and ordered a public opinion poll. According to the survey, 84% of French people believe that violence on the streets of French cities is constantly growing, and 73% – that the country is collapsing. The letter from the French military to the president is approved by 58% of respondents, and 49% of those surveyed believe that the army must act independently, without the consent of the government, in order to save the country. Marine Le Pen, who supported the military action, is trying to take advantage of the situation.
The event had a continuation – on May 9, the active French military (their names are not disclosed) in an open letter to Macron supported the previously published appeal: “You treated them like rebels; although their only fault is that they love their country and mourn it an obvious fall.” “Remember that, like us, the overwhelming majority of our fellow citizens are shocked by your indecision and criminal silence.”
Indeed, the demographic situation in France is terrible, and the policy of multiculturalism has reached a dead end, which even the authorities who preached it admit. According to the Pew Research Center, at the end of 2017, 5 million 720 thousand Muslims lived in France. Representatives of the Muslim community in France themselves cite an overstated figure of 15-20 million people. The famous French demographer François Héran speaks about 8.4 million. Taking into account the continuous flow of migrants, in 20-40 years Muslims will make up the majority of the population of France.
performance of the military, the permanent riot of the “yellow vests”, the large-scale consequences of the pandemic, and the fall in popularity ratings put Macron in a difficult position ahead of the upcoming presidential elections next year.
Does the aforementioned political upheavals mean that Macron will face the fate of D. Trump, with whom he was the friendliest of all European leaders, not least because both considered or presented themselves to society as anti-systemic politicians?
The time is coming for anti-systemic politicians, and one should prepare for this.